Foreclosures Fall…And That’s a Bad Thing?

A new report came out this morning with a curious headline: “Foreclosure Activity Declines, Hurting Investors.” I read it twice. You would think declines in foreclosure activity would be a good thing, that is, would help, not hurt. Not in this bizarre housing market. The report is from Foreclosure Radar, a foreclosure sales and analytics website.

ForeclosureForeclosure starts, the first stage in the foreclosure process, fell in April in the hardest hit states of California, Arizona and Nevada, according to Foreclosure Radar. California saw the steepest slide, with Notice of Default filings down nearly 16 percent from a year ago and nearly 70 percent from the peak in March of 2009.

Foreclosure sales (sales of these properties at the courthouse steps, not sales of already bank-owned, or REO, properties) also declined, as the investor share of these purchases soared to a record high. “Nevada investors purchased more than 50 percent of foreclosure sales for the first time at 50.7 percent,” according to the Foreclosure Radar report. “The low number of sales, combined with a record percent purchased on the courthouse steps, left very little to become Bank Owned (REO). This further depletes the inventory of Bank Owned homes, as REO sales continue to outpace the addition of new inventory.”

Why all the declines? Unfortunately it’s not an overall improvement in the housing market, nor an increasing ability of borrowers to stay current on their mortgage payments.

“Instead we are seeing unprecedented government intervention into the foreclosure process, leaving underwater homeowners in limbo, while stealing opportunity from investors and first-time buyers,” says Foreclosure Radar CEO Sean O’Toole, who cites new legislation in Nevada which brought foreclosure activity to a near halt, and similar pending legislation in California. “The reality is that these laws don’t solve anything, as they fail to address the real problem—negative equity – while instead they punish real estate professionals, homebuyers, and investors far more than the banks they were aimed at,” argues O’Toole.

The recent $25 billion mortgage servicing settlement between the nation’s five largest lenders, state attorneys general and the U.S. Department of Justice, has sent servicers back to the drawing board on many thousands of delinquent loans and loans that were already in the foreclosure process. Bank of America
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alone has suspended 200,000 foreclosure actions, as it offers principal reduction modifications to comply with its $11 billion share of the settlement.

Government and private sector programs are both trying to mitigate the foreclosure crisis, but as the rental market shows no sign of cooling off, investors are increasingly arguing that these troubled mortgages should be allowed to run their course through to foreclosure. That of course benefits investors but ignores the human toll inflicted on so many desperate American families. But again, as O’Toole argues, we’re doing none of these homeowners any good by keeping them in homes in which they will likely never see any equity; underwater borrowers are effectively renting already anyway, not to mention that they are stuck in place because they can’t sell.

Government intervention in the mortgage market, be it foreclosure mitigation, subsidized refinancing, or artificially low interest rates will not abate in an election year because politics always trump fundamental economics. What’s so interesting this year is that while politicians have consistently vilified investors throughout the housing crash, they need them now more than ever to help clear the distressed homes from the market and provide much needed rental housing.

At some point even the politicians will have to look past who did or did not act “responsibly” during the run-up to the housing crash and focus on who has the best chance of setting things right again.

Questions?  Comments?  And follow me on Twitter @Diana_Olick

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/47431600?__source=RSS*blog*&par=RSS

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Asian Contemporary in Bel Air

    The owners, Marcia Selz, 65, and her husband Eduardo Subelman, 64, purchased a home on this 0.67-acre lot in Los Angeles’s Bel Air area for $1.25 million in 1998, according to public records. They tore down the existing home and built this 5,375-square-foot Asian-influenced contemporary in 1999, Ms. Selz said. Photo: Berlyn Photography

    While the facade evokes an East Asian aesthetic, Ms. Selz calls the effect ‘incidental.’ The one-story layout was designed to cater to Ms. Selz’s elderly father, who lived with the couple, and the opaque glass accents at the entryway of the home helped to shield the couple’s art collection from prying eyes. The pop-out windows, which she said give the home ‘the pizazz’ they wanted, complete the Asian feel. Photo: Berlyn Photography

    ‘We wanted a very airy kind of spacious feel,’ Ms. Selz said. It was important to the couple that the home have ample wall space for their art collection — a mix of ‘kinetic’ optical art and Latin American contemporary pieces. Photo: Berlyn Photography

    ‘We like art you have to get involved with to enjoy,’ Ms. Selz said of their art collection. Mr. Subelman, who received his master’s and Ph.D in statistics and probability applications, enjoys ‘the geometics’ of the art, Ms. Selz said. ‘You can interpret it in so many ways,’ she said. Furnishing are not included in the list price. Photo: Berlyn Photography

    One of the key design features for the couple was to ‘bring the outside in and the inside out,’ Ms. Selz said. Several rooms in the home open up to the pool and quartz-stone patio area, which includes a grassy space for entertaining and an English garden, she said. Photo: Berlyn Photography

    ‘It’s emotionally rejuvenating,’ Ms. Selz said of the garden area. In addition to the stone waterfall feature, pictured above, Ms. Selz said her husband’s favorite spot in the garden was a quiet nook at the top of the hill where he would lay out on his hammock. Photo: Berlyn Photography

    The home includes five bedrooms, five bathrooms and four fireplaces, two of which are in the master bedroom suites. Ms. Selz’s father, who was a major influence on the home’s open and accessible layout, passed away in 2008. With the couple’s children already grown, they’ve decided it was time to downsize, she said. Photo: Berlyn Photography

    ‘I love, love, love the kitchen,’ Ms. Selz said. It includes three convection ovens, a 10-foot-long kitchen island, three sinks and ‘enormous storage and work space.’ The home has seen many large family gatherings, and can easily accommodate 40 to 50 people in the dining room alone, she said. Not that parties are confined to the house — ‘we eat a lot of meals outside,’ she said. Photo: Berlyn Photography

    Ms. Selz, who owns a marketing research company, said one of the nicest features of the home is the privacy. ‘Once we’ve entered the property, it’s like we’ve left the rest of the world,’ she said. The nearest neighbor to the gated property is about a half-block away, she said. Photo: Berlyn Photography

    The home was listed in April for $6.25 million with Drew Mandile and Brooke Knapp of Sotheby’s International Realty. Photo: Berlyn Photography

Article source: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304192704577404373191401732.html?mod=rss_house_of_the_day

After a Dip, Homebuilder Sentiment Surges Again

The nation’s homebuilders are feeling far better again, after an unusually warm winter wreaked havoc with the usual traffic and sales trends. Builder confidence jumped five points in May on the National Association of Home Builders’ sentiment index, after dropping four points in April.



“Builders in many markets are reporting that buyer traffic and sales have picked back up after a pause this April,” said NAHB chairman Barry Rutenberg in a release.

The index now stands at 29. Fifty is the line between positive and negative sentiment.

Builder confidence had been rising steadily throughout the fall and winter, with the exception of the April blip. While the two components of the index measuring buyer traffic and current sales surged strongly, sales expectations over the next six months were not quite as bullish, although still in the positive.

“The pace of this emerging recovery could be stronger were it not for the significant impediments that the market continues to face with regard to builder and consumer access to credit, inaccurate appraisals, and more recently, rising materials prices,” notes NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe.


On the flip side, affordability has never been better. A report just released from the National Association of Realtors shows its quarterly “Housing Affordability Index” rising to a record high in the first three months of this year.

It is also the first time the index broke the 200 market since record keeping began in 1970. Again, it comes with a caveat:

“Although home prices are stabilizing and sales are rising, some buyers still have to jump through a lot of hoops to convince a lender that they are creditworthy, even for a mortgage that would be well within their means,” notes NAR president Moe Veissi in a Tuesday’s release.

The index shows that the median income family, earning just under $61,000, could afford a home costing $325,000, which is more than double the national median existing home price. Newly constructed homes are more costly, but builders are helping with financing and continued incentives.

Home builder sentiment rose most strongly in the Northeast, and more modestly in the South and Midwest. Only the West region saw a drop in builder confidence.

Questions?  Comments?  And follow me on Twitter @Diana_Olick

Article source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/47428418?__source=RSS*blog*&par=RSS

Buyer, beware additions done without permits

Dear Ken,
First off, a home inspector will not tear into walls and ceilings to inspect wiring and other work, even if the house was never properly inspected after apparent illegal additions were built. That’s not what inspectors do. When hired by you, a home inspector would work for you exclusively. His or her job would be to examine the physical elements of the home for flaws and stability. They often can’t spot unpermitted construction unless it’s overtly shoddy. And if they do identify some, they won’t rat you out to the code-compliance people. So don’t hesitate to hire one, especially given the property’s history.

As for the unpermitted work, there are several not-so-great things that can happen if you buy the place:

  • The onus to disclose the work will now fall on you when it comes time to sell again, unless you, too, try to discreetly sell as is.
  • If the code-enforcement department discovers the illegal construction, it may still require you to remedy it, whether that includes minor changes or even a partial tear-down, and pay for permits (and possible penalties).
  • If the code-enforcement folks inform your taxing authority of the illegal addition after you buy the place, you may be assessed retroactively for back taxes based on the additional square footage and possibly interest and penalties. By the way, if there’s a disparity between the square footage on the tax-assessor rolls and the square footage of the house now, that’s a big red flag.
  • While permitted work is “grandfathered” after building codes get updated, code-enforcement officials may mandate that any illegal work be brought to current code.
  • Unpermitted additions often are not covered by homeowners insurance policies, so if a guest is injured in one of those two bedrooms, you might find yourself embroiled in a lawsuit if your insurer refuses to pay.
  • While a relatively rare occurrence, mortgage companies have been known to call a loan for immediate payment if they can prove you knew about an illegal addition, reasoning that they don’t want to take a chance on exposing themselves to future liabilities.
  • If you somehow run afoul of your new neighbors, who may have been aware of the illegal work under the old owner, they just might “drop a dime” on you and report the unpermitted work.

However, after 30 years, it’s not especially likely the unpermitted work will stand out. Without identifying yourself, you could contact your local code-enforcement office and ask what its policies are about scenarios such as yours and how much it would typically cost to remedy any problems.

If you do buy this place, make sure you get a steep discount because you will likely have to offer a discount yourself if and when you sell. Good luck!

Bankrate’s content, including the guidance of its advice-and-expert columns and this website, is intended only to assist you with financial decisions. The content is broad in scope and does not consider your personal financial situation. Bankrate recommends that you seek the advice of advisers who are fully aware of your individual circumstances before making any final decisions or implementing any financial strategy. Please remember that your use of this website is governed by Bankrate’s Terms of Use.

Article source: http://www.bankrate.com/finance/real-estate/buyer-beware-work-done-without-permits.aspx

Is it worth it to refinance an underwater ARM?

I am planning to put more money down, so I can refinance into a 15-year mortgage. I still have 22 years and five months on my current underwater mortgage. Is this a good plan? I don’t have plans to move anywhere, and even if I put down the money, I still have at least one year of emergency fund savings.

Thanks,

– Mandy Mortgage

Dear Mandy,
The lender is going to want you to have a 20 percent equity position in order to refinance. If the house appraises at $310,000, then you need to come up with 20 percent of $310,000 ($62,000) plus the difference between the outstanding loan balance and the appraised value ($17,000). That works out to $79,000. Do you have that kind of money to put down on the refinancing?

If you don’t, then I’d suggest you try the Home Affordable Refinance Program, or HARP, if you qualify. It’s designed to help homeowners refinance if they have an underwater mortgage.

If you can afford the payments on a 15-year loan, then go ahead and capture the lower interest rate and interest savings. While you currently have a good rate on your underwater mortgage, a refinance out of an ARM and into a fixed-rate mortgage takes the risk of rising interest rates off the table. As I write this, Bankrate’s national average for a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage is 3.2 percent.

Article source: http://www.bankrate.com/finance/refinance/refinance-underwater-mortgage.aspx

Slow but steady economic growth in Florida

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Florida Department of Economic OpportunityThe recession and the subprime mortgage crisis hit Florida with hurricane force, leaving a wake of home foreclosures and more than 10 percent unemployment at its peak. Four years later, the state still works hard to build back its economic strength. Rebecca Rust, chief economist at the Bureau of Labor Market Statistics, and James Miller, deputy chief communications officer for Florida’s Department of Economic Opportunity, or DEO, share their insights on the Sunshine State’s economic status and what actions are being taken to increase its vitality.


Rust: Better, but room for improvement

Rust: Better, but room for improvement

With the Florida’s unemployment rate falling below 10 percent recently, would you agree that we are finally over the recession period?

The recessionary periods are determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research. The official end date of the U.S. recession was June 2009. Although Florida’s job market has shown significant improvement, the state is still down by almost 780,000 jobs from the prerecession peak and has (more than) 900,000 people still unemployed. Out of 10 major industry sectors, seven are gaining jobs, but three are still in decline. Florida is now gaining jobs at 1.6 percent over the year after losing jobs for three years. In normal growth time periods, Florida’s unemployment rate ranges between 4 (percent) and 5 percent, and job growth rates range between 3 (percent) and 4 percent.

Rust: Foreclosures, gas and Europe

Rust: Foreclosures, gas and Europe

In your opinion, what other events or factors will influence the U.S. economy and ultimately Florida as well?

Risk factors in economic growth include the high numbers of home foreclosures and the resulting decline in home values, rising gas prices with potential oil supply disruptions and the European sovereign debt.

Miller: Job creation economic growth

Miller: Job creation  economic growth

How will Governor Rick Scott’s Job Creation and Economic Growth Agenda get Floridians back to work ?

Governor Scott’s Job Creation and Economic Growth Agenda focuses on starting, relocating and growing businesses in Florida. A few highlights include:

  • Repealing burdensome regulations to help businesses open doors and hire workers faster.
  • Providing tax relief and reform for working families and businesses.
  • Reforming Florida’s unemployment system to create more jobs.
  • Restoring accountability and credibility to the Workforce Boards.
  • Launching transportation projects to facilitate economic development.
  • Offering stability to businesses by balancing the budget without raising taxes.
  • Prioritizing science, technology, engineering and math in education.

Together, these activities will greatly improve employment and the economy in the state in the short term and for many years to come.

Miller: Taking action to fix problems

Miller: Taking action to fix problems

What development actions have the Department of Economic Opportunity taken to fuel job creation and improve Florida’s economy?

DEO works with Enterprise Florida (the state’s marketing and sales team) and Workforce Florida ( (which provides ) job training and placement) to initiate and coordinate services. Key to DEO’s projects is a drafting of the first statewide five-year economic development strategic plan, which will align the efforts of businesses, economic development councils, counties, cities, towns, and all state agencies to eliminate redundancies in the system and share the unique strengths of particular groups.

Since the agency officially launched in October 2011, DEO, Enterprise Florida and Workforce Florida have led two key initiatives:

  • The monthly job placement report, which measures the success of job placements among Florida’s 24 Regional Workforce Boards.
  • The Hiring Florida’s Heroes campaign, which provides specialized job searches and services for unemployed veterans, including direct connections to employers looking to hire veterans.

The combined efforts of DEO, EFI and WFI have helped more than 70,000 Floridians find jobs during the last year.

Many thanks to Rebecca Rust, chief economist for the Bureau of Labor Market Statistics and James Miller, deputy chief communications officer from Florida’s Department of Economics Opportunity for their expertise.

 

Article source: http://www.bankrate.com/finance/personal-finance/slow-steady-grows-florida-economy.aspx

Housing Affordability Indices Reach Records in First Quarter

WASHINGTON (May 15, 2012) – Housing affordability conditions for all buyers reached a milestone in the first quarter, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

NAR’s composite quarterly Housing Affordability Index* rose to a record high of 205.9 in first quarter, based on the relationship between median home price, median family income and average mortgage interest rate. The higher the index, the greater the household purchasing power. This is the first time the quarterly index broke the 200 mark; recordkeeping began in 1970.

NAR President Moe Veissi, broker-owner of Veissi Associates Inc., in Miami, said market conditions are optimal for home buyers. “For those with good credit, we’ve never seen better housing affordability conditions or market opportunities than we see at present,” he said. “Although home prices are stabilizing and sales are rising, some buyers still have to jump through a lot of hoops to convince a lender that they are creditworthy, even for a mortgage that would be well within their means. This is especially true for self-employed buyers.”

Veissi noted home sales would be much higher if lending standards would return to normal.

The index shows the median income family, earning just under $61,000, could afford a home costing $325,500 in the first quarter, which is more than double the national median existing single-family home price of $158,100. The median monthly mortgage principal and interest payment for a median-priced home would take only 13.5 percent of gross income.

A companion index measuring the ability of first-time buyers to purchase a home also set a record, with the first-time buyer index reaching 135.8 in the first quarter.

Assumptions for the first-time buyer index include a lower income, at 65 percent of median family income, a starter home costing 85 percent of the median price, and a downpayment of 10 percent. This index means the typical entry-level buyer could afford a home costing $182,500, which is well above the overall median price.

“It’s never been easy to buy a first home because of the cash required for downpayment and closing costs, but conditions for first-time buyers who are able to get a mortgage have never been better,” Veissi explained.

Most first-time buyers choose a loan with a lower downpayment, often an FHA-insured loan with 3.5 percent down, and some use the VA program with no downpayment.

Both home prices and mortgage interest rates are expected to edge up modestly as the year progresses, but housing affordability will remain very favorable with the median-income household well positioned to afford a median-priced home. For all of 2012 the index is projected to set an annual record, averaging 191 for the year.

The National Association of Realtors®, “The Voice for Real Estate,” is America’s largest trade association, representing 1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.

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*A composite index of 100 is defined as the point where a median-income family household has exactly enough income to qualify for the purchase of a median-priced existing single-family home, assuming a 20 percent downpayment and 25 percent of gross income devoted to mortgage principal and interest payments.

Information about NAR is available at www.realtor.org. News releases are posted in the website’s “News and Commentary” tab. Statistical data in this release, as well as other tables and surveys, are posted in the “Research and Statistics” tab of www.realtor.org.

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REAL ESTATE: Office jobs don’t dent vacancies much

There were 6,200 more Riverside and San Bernardino people working in office-related jobs in March than there were 12 months earlier, but that doesn’t mean many of them are moving into the region’s vacant offices.

In fact, research from Newmark Grubb Knight Frank has the office vacancy rate a little lower in the first quarter of this year but not much lower. It is 23.4 percent for all types of office buildings in the two counties, meaning a little less than one-quarter of all Inland office space is unoccupied.

If one adds the Professional and Business Services categories and the health care sector, that’s a significant increase in office users. But commercial real estate vacancy rates are a net-sum game. One must also subtract government workers and financial offices from that.

It all adds up to not a lot of demand for space. Landlords cut their rents for Class A and Class B buildings during the first quarter, Newmark Grubb Knight Frank reported. Also, businesses are more apt to put their new hires at vacant desks in the space they’re already occupying, and are probably not looking to sign new leases.

When will that vacancy rate come down? It probably comes down to a turnaround in the residential real estate market. If new homes start to go up again, it means doctors, lawyers and accountants will want to be here and will be willing to lease a nice office somewhere.

Article source: http://www.pe.com/business/business-insider-headlines/20120511-real-estate-office-jobs-dont-dent-vacancies-much.ece

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